November 5, 2025

Recent setback for the olive oil industry: The much anticipated “historic harvest” may not be as promising as initially thought

Optimism Dwindles in the Spanish Olive Sector

Despite high hopes for a plentiful olive oil harvest, experts are cautioning that the numbers are likely to fall short of expectations due to a combination of climatic, biological, and structural factors. Can the Spanish olive sector rise to meet this new challenge?

A Promising Harvest at Risk

Following last year’s abundant rainfall, many producers were anticipating a record-breaking harvest for the 2024-2025 season. However, the Small Farmers and Ranchers Union (UPA) has advised against excessive optimism. Production is projected to range between 1.2 and 1.4 million tons, only slightly higher than the previous season and well below peak years in the sector.

Andalusia: the Sector’s Barometer

Andalusia, the primary contributor to national olive oil production, is facing uncertainty. The region is expected to yield between 950,000 and 1,150,000 tons, with Castilla-La Mancha producing around 125,000 tons and Extremadura contributing 80,000 tons. The remaining autonomous communities are projected to have minimal output.

Extreme Weather and Pests: Unseen Adversaries

An early heatwave in late May directly impacted the olive blossom, a crucial stage for a successful harvest. The AEMET’s forecast for August-October is discouraging, with temperatures expected to be above average and precipitation levels below normal.

Copyright © All rights reserved. | Newsphere by AF themes.