November 4, 2025

The CIA’s Change of Course on the Origin of the Coronavirus Reopens Old Questions

After years of conflicting versions, the main intelligence agency of the United States has once again placed the spotlight on the discussion. Its new assessment points towards , without completely ruling out the natural jump from animals, bringing tension back to a debate full of political and scientific implications.

A nuanced conclusion

The unexpected turn of the CIA: why today it says that COVID-19 is “more likely” to have originated from a laboratory
The report does not provide new evidence, but rather a reinterpretation of the information accumulated since the early months of the pandemic. According to its analysts, it is “more likely” that the virus originated from an incident in a laboratory, although certainty remains low. This nuance is crucial:

It comes in a context of divisions within the US intelligence community itself, where different agencies have defended opposing positions with varying degrees of confidence. reflects the complexity of tracing an event that occurred in conditions and places that are difficult to investigate independently.

An ongoing debate

The unexpected turn of the CIA: why today it says that COVID-19 is “more likely” to have originated from a laboratory
Since the beginning of the pandemic, has been marked by diplomatic tensions and media polarization. The laboratory leak theory, previously considered marginal by much of the scientific community, has gained ground as details about coronavirus research in Wuhan emerge, and as limited access to key data and locations is questioned.

However, still argue that the most likely scenario is the virus jumping from an animal to a human, as has happened with other pathogens in the past. The lack of conclusive evidence keeps both possibilities open and requires a balance between scientific caution and political pressure.

Consequences and next steps

The CIA’s review revives demands for greater transparency and international cooperation to clarify the origin of the virus. Beyond the dispute over Wuhan, and prepare global protocols that allow for a quick and precise response to future threats.

In a scenario where complete truth still seems distant, each new report is another piece of a puzzle that, for now, remains incomplete.

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